IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.7	#332
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.7	#99
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.8	#318

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.0	#331

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.8%	6.3%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.7	15.9

.500 or above	10.6%	44.6%	10.5%
.500 or above in Conference	19.1%	51.9%	18.9%
Conference Champion	2.9%	14.6%	2.8%
Last Place in Conference	3.3%	0.2%	3.3%

First Four	2.4%	2.3%	2.4%
First Round	1.4%	4.2%	1.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 6
Quad 4	7 - 11	7 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	34	@ Connecticut	L	62-89	0.4%
Nov 27, 2020	328	Maine	L	69-70	48%
Dec 04, 2020	267	@ Hartford	L	67-77	19%
Dec 08, 2020	233	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-83	16%
Dec 09, 2020	233	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-83	16%
Dec 15, 2020	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	75-76	47%
Dec 16, 2020	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	75-76	48%
Dec 19, 2020	201	@ Fordham	L	59-72	13%
Dec 22, 2020	205	@ New Hampshire	L	66-79	13%
Jan 07, 2021	294	@ Bryant	L	73-81	24%
Jan 08, 2021	294	@ Bryant	L	73-81	24%
Jan 14, 2021	311	@ Sacred Heart	L	72-79	29%
Jan 21, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	L	66-70	37%
Jan 22, 2021	257	Mount St. Mary's	L	66-70	37%
Jan 30, 2021	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-83	18%
Jan 31, 2021	239	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	72-83	17%
Feb 04, 2021	311	Sacred Heart	L	75-76	48%
Feb 11, 2021	290	Merrimack	L	64-66	42%
Feb 12, 2021	290	Merrimack	L	64-66	43%
Feb 20, 2021	260	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	75-85	20%
Feb 21, 2021	260	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	75-85	21%
Feb 25, 2021	313	Wagner	L	74-75	48%
Feb 26, 2021	313	Wagner	L	74-75	48%
Projected Record						7 - 16	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		2.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	1.6	1.5	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0					4.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	2.4	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0						7.0	3rd
4th							0.1	0.8	3.1	3.0	0.8	0.2	0.0								8.0	4th
5th						0.1	0.8	3.2	3.7	0.9	0.1	0.0									8.7	5th
6th					0.1	0.8	3.6	4.6	1.2	0.1											10.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.7	3.2	5.0	1.7	0.1												10.7	7th
8th			0.0	0.6	3.8	5.5	2.7	0.3													12.8	8th
9th		0.1	1.4	4.6	6.0	3.0	0.3														15.3	9th
10th	0.8	4.2	5.6	5.6	2.2	0.2															18.7	10th
11th	0.6																				0.6	11th

Total	1.4	4.3	7.0	10.9	12.7	12.7	12.4	10.6	9.0	6.8	5.2	3.1	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-3	95.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-4	73.9%	0.4		0.3	0.1
13-5	59.0%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	41.0%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	15.8%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-8	3.1%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.4%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0

Total	2.9%	2.9		1.7	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																					0.0
17-1	0.0%		47.1%	47.1%		15.0																0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		33.9%	33.9%		14.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.2%		31.6%	31.6%		15.6																0.0	0.0	0.1
14-4	0.6%		22.4%	22.4%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5
13-5	1.1%		22.1%	22.1%		15.8																0.0	0.2	0.8
12-6	2.0%		15.9%	15.9%		15.9																0.0	0.3	1.7
11-7	3.1%		11.3%	11.3%		16.0																0.0	0.3	2.8
10-8	5.2%		7.7%	7.7%		16.0																	0.4	4.8
9-9	6.8%		4.8%	4.8%		16.0																	0.3	6.4
8-10	9.0%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.3	8.7
7-11	10.6%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.3	10.3
6-12	12.4%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	12.2
5-13	12.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	12.6
4-14	12.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
3-15	10.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
2-16	7.0%																							7.0
1-17	4.3%																							4.3
0-18	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		2.8%	2.8%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.2	2.6	97.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.9%